20 Aug · 08:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1476
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1485
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Ovsiienko stays under total as favourite 63% (125)
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H5-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.