20 Aug · 08:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇺🇦David Sabuka
ELO 1370
FormLLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Cmil
MC
🇺🇦Marcel Cmil
ELO 1475
FormLWWWW
39%
61%
🌟Cmil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (98)
Fair odds · Cmil
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~73 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)