20 Aug · 07:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1492
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Emets
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1490
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Melnykov stays under total as underdog 65% (101)
Fair odds · Emets
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H15-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.