21 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1495
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jnr
PH
🇺🇦Petr Hlina
ELO 1456
FormWLLLL
54%
46%
🌟Hlina stays under total as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.