21 Aug · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1587
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hrekh
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1545
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Shchegelskyi covers set handicap as underdog 64% (103)
Fair odds · Hrekh
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H11-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-8)