21 Aug · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇺🇦Jan Marhol
ELO 1534
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Marhol
FK
🇺🇦Filip Kubos
ELO 1475
FormWLWLW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kubos🌟Marhol rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (46)
Fair odds · Marhol
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H5-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)