21 Aug · 09:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1640
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Loboda
GK
🇺🇦Gregory Kuzmenko
ELO 1626
FormLWWWW
51%
49%
🌟Loboda stays under total as favourite 65% (158)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H23-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.