21 Aug · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1483
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Khalenko
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1525
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
🌟Khalenko stays under total as favourite 65% (40)
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H16-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-11)