21 Aug · 07:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1483
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ovsiienko
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1482
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
🌟Ovsiienko stays under total as favourite 63% (125)
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H3-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.