21 Aug · 07:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FT
🇺🇦Filip Taller
ELO 1459
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kubos
FK
🇺🇦Filip Kubos
ELO 1475
FormWLWLW
48%
52%
🌟Kubos rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (62)
Fair odds · Kubos
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.