21 Aug · 08:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1546
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mrykh
IN
🇺🇦Ivan Nitchenko
ELO 1534
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Nitchenko stays under total as underdog 66% (58)
Fair odds · Mrykh
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.