21 Aug · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1491
FormLWWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Ziakun
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1349
FormWLLLL
65%
35%
🌟Ziakun goes over total as favourite 64% (50)
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H55-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (55-20)