21 Aug · 07:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1702
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kohut
BK
🇺🇦Bohdan Kohut
ELO 1702
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kohut🌟Kohut rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (21)
Fair odds · Kohut
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~82 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H51-44
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.