21 Aug · 07:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇺🇦Jan Marhol
ELO 1534
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kuksa
ZK
🇺🇦Zdenek Kuksa
ELO 1571
FormWWLLW
46%
54%
🌟Marhol covers set handicap as underdog 72% (18)
Fair odds · Kuksa
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H5-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.