21 Aug · 08:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EH
🇺🇦Evhenii Hrytsenko
ELO 1577
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hrytsenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1551
FormWLLLL
53%
47%
🌟Hrytsenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (61)
Fair odds · Hrytsenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~72 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H6-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.