21 Aug · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1495
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jnr
JP
🇺🇦Jaroslav Puk
ELO 1447
FormWWLLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Puk🌟Puk covers set handicap as underdog 62% (56)
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)