21 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PK
🇺🇦Petr Kolesnik
ELO 1564
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tsys
DT
🇺🇦Dmytro Tsys
ELO 1573
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
🌟Kolesnik rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (27)
Fair odds · Tsys
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H10-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.