21 Aug · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FT
🇺🇦Filip Taller
ELO 1459
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Marhol
JM
🇺🇦Jan Marhol
ELO 1534
FormWWLLW
42%
58%
🌟Marhol rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (46)
Fair odds · Marhol
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)