21 Aug · 09:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MD
🇺🇦Maksym Deineha
ELO 1566
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Deineha
IN
🇺🇦Ivan Nitchenko
ELO 1534
FormLLLLL
53%
47%
🌟Nitchenko stays under total as underdog 66% (58)
Fair odds · Deineha
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.