21 Aug · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1587
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hrekh
OP
🇺🇦Oleksandr Pohonov
ELO 1515
FormLWLWL
58%
42%
🌟Hrekh stays under total as favourite 63% (158)
Fair odds · Hrekh
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H11-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-8)