21 Aug · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇺🇦Jaroslav Puk
ELO 1447
FormWWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Plyska
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1533
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Puk🌟Plyska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (102)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H27-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-13)