21 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DT
🇺🇦Dmytro Tsys
ELO 1573
FormLWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Tsys
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1569
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Pohorilyi stays under total as underdog 65% (52)
Fair odds · Tsys
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H7-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.