21 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇺🇦Jaroslav Puk
ELO 1447
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hlina
PH
🇺🇦Petr Hlina
ELO 1456
FormWLLLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Puk🌟Hlina rarely covers set handicap as favourite 12% (16)
Fair odds · Hlina
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.