21 Aug · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GK
🇺🇦Gregory Kuzmenko
ELO 1626
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kuzmenko
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1545
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
🌟Kuzmenko stays under total as favourite 65% (63)
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)