22 Aug · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Baranskyi
ELO 1435
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Baranskyi
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1414
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Baranskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.