22 Aug · 09:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇺🇦Stepan Kalensky
ELO 1495
FormLLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kuksa
ZK
🇺🇦Zdenek Kuksa
ELO 1581
FormLWWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Kuksa
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H2-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)