22 Aug · 07:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Martynenko
ELO 1327
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Shcherbak
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1384
FormLWLWW
44%
56%
🌟Martynenko stays under total as underdog 64% (39)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)