22 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Vadym Kucheriavyi
ELO 1397
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kucheriavyi
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1392
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Kucheriavyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (30)
Fair odds · Kucheriavyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H4-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.