23 Aug · 05:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OR
🇺🇦Oleksii Rodin
ELO 1561
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rodin
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1525
FormWLLLW
54%
46%
🌟Vorsuliak covers set handicap as underdog 68% (122)
Fair odds · Rodin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.