22 Aug · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AF
🇺🇦Andrii Fastov
ELO 1408
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fastov
VA
🇺🇦Vitalii Ananiev
ELO 1389
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Fastov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H7-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.