22 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇺🇦Tomas Kanka
ELO 1508
FormLWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Merkl
RM
🇺🇦Roman Merkl
ELO 1575
FormLWWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Merkl
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H15-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)