22 Aug · 07:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1808
FormWWLWW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Pesternikov
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1550
FormWLLLW
75%
25%
🌟Kovalchuk covers set handicap as underdog 68% (87)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~74 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
26%
3-2
17%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+258
H2H26-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+258)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-15)