22 Aug · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇺🇦Petr Kolesnik
ELO 1561
FormLLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kolesnik
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Bului
ELO 1508
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Bului rarely covers set handicap as underdog 28% (64)
Fair odds · Kolesnik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H0-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)