22 Aug · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PO
🇺🇦Petr Orlowski
ELO 1584
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Orlowski
TK
🇺🇦Tomas Kanka
ELO 1508
FormLWWLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Orlowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)