22 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr Kolos
ELO 1417
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Priadko
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Priadko
ELO 1424
FormWWLLL
49%
51%
🌟Kolos covers set handicap as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Priadko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H11-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.