22 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇺🇦Roman Boklah
ELO 1400
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kolos
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr Kolos
ELO 1417
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kolos
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H7-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.