22 Aug · 08:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kunchurov
ELO 1272
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Tkalich
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tkalich
ELO 1323
FormWLLWW
45%
55%
🌟Tkalich rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (40)
Fair odds · Tkalich
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H10-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)