22 Aug · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RH
🇺🇦Ruslan Haiseniuk
ELO 1527
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kovalchuk
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1550
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
🌟Kovalchuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (141)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H13-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.