22 Aug · 09:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1808
FormWWLWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Pesternikov
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1589
FormLLLLL
72%
28%
🌟Pesternikov stays under total as favourite 62% (198)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~72 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
25%
3-2
17%
2-3
11%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+219
H2H82-51
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+219)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (82-51)