22 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Vadym Kucheriavyi
ELO 1397
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Varchenko
VV
🇺🇦Volodymyr Varchenko
ELO 1429
FormLWWLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kucheriavyi🌟Varchenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (23)
Fair odds · Varchenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.