22 Aug · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IE
🇺🇦Ivan Efimenko
ELO 1500
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kotiash
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kotiash
ELO 1548
FormLWWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Kotiash
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)