22 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PK
🇺🇦Petr Kolesnik
ELO 1561
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Tsys
DT
🇺🇦Dmytro Tsys
ELO 1562
FormLLLWW
50%
50%
🌟Kolesnik rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (32)
Fair odds · Tsys
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H11-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.