22 Aug · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Ponomarenko
ELO 1393
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Ponomarenko
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tkalich
ELO 1323
FormWLLWW
57%
43%
🌟Ponomarenko stays under total as favourite 66% (56)
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H21-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)