22 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1373
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kucheriavyi
VK
🇺🇦Vadym Kucheriavyi
ELO 1397
FormLLWWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stukalov🌟Kucheriavyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (30)
Fair odds · Kucheriavyi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H4-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.