22 Aug · 08:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BP
🇺🇦Bohdan Pyrtyk
ELO 1355
FormLLLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Nikolenko
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nikolenko
ELO 1470
FormWWLLW
38%
62%
🌟Pyrtyk goes over total as underdog 62% (24)
Fair odds · Nikolenko
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H33-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-23)