22 Aug · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇺🇦Tomas Kanka
ELO 1508
FormLWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kolman
LK
🇺🇦Leon Kolman
ELO 1571
FormLLLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kolman
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H19-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-9)