22 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VV
🇺🇦Volodymyr Varchenko
ELO 1429
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Varchenko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1414
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
🌟Varchenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (23)
Fair odds · Varchenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.