22 Aug · 09:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MT
🇺🇦Mikhail Taranko
ELO 1477
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Taranko
JS
🇺🇦Jakub Nemecek Snr
ELO 1477
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
🌟Taranko stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Taranko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H6-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.