22 Aug · 06:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BP
🇺🇦Bohdan Pyrtyk
ELO 1355
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Shcherbak
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1384
FormLWLWW
47%
53%
🌟Pyrtyk goes over total as underdog 62% (24)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H5-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.