22 Aug · 20:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇺🇦Adam Radkovsky
ELO 1635
FormLWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Radkovsky
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1557
FormWLLWW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Makara🌟Makara covers set handicap as underdog 68% (192)
Fair odds · Radkovsky
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)